Election Betting Odds by Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Election Betting Odds

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2028 (by party)Bets on which party will control the Presidency after Nov 5, 2028 elections
$2,651,857 bet so far

DEM details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 58.0-59.0% $1,902,532

Kalshi 🇺🇸 58.0-59.0% $517,583

Betfair 🇬🇧 57.5-58.1% $187,935

PredictIt 🇺🇸 55.3-56.3% $41,421

Smarkets 🇬🇧 56.5-59.2% $2,386

57.7%
-0.2%

REP details

Markets Range (Bid-Ask) Total $ Bet

Polymarket 🌎 40.0-41.0% $1,902,532

Kalshi 🇺🇸 40.0-41.0% $517,583

Betfair 🇬🇧 39.4-39.7% $187,935

PredictIt 🇺🇸 43.7-44.7% $41,421

Smarkets 🇬🇧 38.5-40.6% $2,386

40.9%
0.2%

1.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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