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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$709,937,668 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎40.2-40.5%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧38.2-39.4%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧38.2-39.4%$3,718

38.8%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.9-28.0%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧25.3-28.6%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.3-26.3%$3,718

27.9%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.8%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$3,718

4.3%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-4.0%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.9%$3,718

2.9%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.7%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,320,547

2.4%

-0.3%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.2%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-11.6%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$3,718

1.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$3,718

0.9%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.7%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$32,015,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,320,547
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-25.0%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,718

0.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$3,718

0.8%

-0.1%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,015,617

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-99.0%$75,301

0.5%

-0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$32,015,617

0.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$32,015,617

0.4%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$3,718

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$3,718

0.4%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$3,718

0.4%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$32,015,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-97.1%$75,301
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,718

0.4%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.4%$32,015,617

0.4%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$676,522,492
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$32,015,617

0.3%

-0.1%

16.0%

Static chart capture

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